Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.316818 0.368990 0.423988 0.486000 0.553694 0.625078 0.705772
2025-01-26 0.250713 0.323341 0.404740 0.501577 0.612515 0.734581 0.877988
2025-02-02 0.202761 0.288405 0.390012 0.516717 0.667845 0.839887 1.048100
2025-02-09 0.158176 0.249428 0.364142 0.513837 0.699162 0.916613 1.186612
2025-02-16 0.128814 0.224290 0.350946 0.522988 0.742811 1.007234 1.342353
2025-02-23 0.101743 0.197191 0.331127 0.520459 0.769812 1.076785 1.473161
2025-03-02 0.075161 0.165441 0.300511 0.499882 0.770889 1.112455 1.561756
2025-03-09 0.061030 0.150131 0.290805 0.505741 0.805118 1.189172 1.701327
2025-03-16 0.046196 0.130169 0.271371 0.495591 0.816246 1.235364 1.802298
2025-03-23 0.040030 0.124662 0.273462 0.516003 0.868944 1.335877 1.973254
2025-03-30 0.031475 0.112195 0.262571 0.515797 0.892161 1.397337 2.094358
2025-04-06 0.024851 0.101895 0.253874 0.517813 0.917817 1.461805 2.219619
2025-04-13 0.020417 0.095601 0.251796 0.530424 0.959733 1.549999 2.378840
2025-04-20 0.017184 0.091331 0.252834 0.547808 1.008831 1.648641 2.553088
2025-04-27 0.014350 0.087166 0.253503 0.564366 1.056892 1.746464 2.727394
2025-05-04 0.010488 0.078005 0.243124 0.561612 1.075560 1.803583 2.847802
2025-05-11 0.008226 0.072990 0.240433 0.571484 1.113251 1.887479 3.004852
2025-05-18 0.005754 0.065366 0.231058 0.568902 1.131339 1.943697 3.124790
2025-05-25 0.003188 0.054217 0.211825 0.547131 1.118301 1.954910 3.183029
2025-06-01 0.002204 0.050087 0.208223 0.553380 1.149312 2.029299 3.328249
2025-06-08 0.001146 0.043039 0.196078 0.542627 1.152385 2.062958 3.417286
2025-06-15 0.000902 0.042528 0.200807 0.564294 1.208410 2.174306 3.614942
2025-06-22 0.000466 0.038232 0.194561 0.564082 1.228346 2.232811 3.739345